Patrick Henningsen discusses why Trump holds no cards as his negotiating team stares down the abject humiliation of defeat and disaster brought on by their war on Iran.
Larry C. Johnson: Iran Just SEIZED Control of the Strait of Hormuz – Ceasefire Already Falling Apart?
Ye shall know them by their targets.
The End of American Hegemony:
Taiwan’s Strategic Pivot: Is the Island Nation Looking Toward Beijing for Its Future?
China and Taiwan To Form New Asian Powerhouse Leaving US To Flounder About
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As the ceasefire comes into effect after 40 days of aggression against the Islamic Republic, with violations continuing on the Lebanese front, military analysts worldwide are just beginning to unpack one of the most unexpected outcomes of modern military confrontation.
They are examining how the Islamic Republic of Iran, against the full American air and naval power backed by the finest allied systems, managed not only to survive but to inflict high costs and ultimately achieve a historic victory despite overwhelming odds.
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Iran’s ability to combine ballistic missiles that defeat or saturate theater defenses, anti-ship attacks that keep capital ships at standoff range, and short-range electro-optical air defenses proven effective against fifth-generation stealth aircraft — all of this demonstrates that Iran has built an effective A2/AD bubble far stronger than pre-war estimates suggested.
As the dust settles and both sides count the lessons, one inescapable fact remains: the mighty US military is no longer able to dictate its terms at an acceptable pace and cost against a resolute, well-armed regional power equipped with modern asymmetric capabilities.
Iranian military’s performance has rewritten chapters of the military playbook for future confrontations in the West Asia region — and has sent a powerful message that the era of unparalleled US domination in the region is past
The ceasefire may have prevented the continuation of a devastating war that could spill over beyond the region, but the military lessons of the ‘Ramadan War’ will continue to shape deterrence calculations, force planning, and alliances in the region for years to come.
Mohammad Molaei is a Tehran-based military affairs analyst.
https://www.thetruthseeker.co.uk/?p=325946
This constituted the largest one-day death toll in Lebanon since its civil war ended in 1990.
While in Beirut, Dimitri Lascaris inspected the sites of Israel's deadly attacks. In this report, he shares footage of what he saw and argues that Israel is now committing genocide in Gaza.
Global Shipping Shutdown:
In this report, we analyze the geopolitical implications of this blockade, the reactions from global leaders, and how this development is fundamentally shifting the balance of power in the Gulf. We also explore the economic impact on international supply chains and why this standoff is being described as a critical turning point for global energy security and maritime trade.
Major escalation is unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz
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